Lay Over 4.5 Goals

Great video, wanted to give it a go so after watching it, I looked through the spreadsheet and picked out Dortmund v Eintract, £5 lay @3.7 Dortmund got a penalty in the 93rd minute to make it 3-1, squeaky bum time 😂 but the trade pulled through, boom 😂👍🏻

The 100% matches are extracted from Excel sheets???? Very good job !!!!

Any way to use the spreadsheets on a Chromebook?

Ur great with this man love ur videos but this is one strategy that failed man I done over 200 games trade on this 10 wins couple lost and am right down

How do we get the latest version of the sheet if the "update data" button isn't working. Thanks.

Gave this a run yesterday. 6 games traded. 100% strike rate. Fantastic content as always guys 👍

Very nice movie. What should you take into account when looking for matches to bet on under 4.5 goals? Regards

Thank you for this. Im subscribed and have just joined you on discord.

Sat results, wolves 2-3 Ipswich 6-0 lincoln5-0 Kilmarnock 5-2 Mansfield 5-1 Dagenham-1 ebbs fleet 4-2falkirk4-1 airdrie 5-2 alloa 5-2 dumbarton6-2 so your strategy is in the bin then

i know this is a set and forget strategy. but would it be prudent to wait till a couple of goals have gone in possibly odds, will shorten and liability will be less ?

so you didnt trade these games then you just paper tested the picks ?

When will the podcast be back? Amd also that sheet looks slightly differently to the one on the site, are there any major differences? Oh and tweedle dee and dweedle dumber said buy our software🤣🤣🤣

Another strategy for high bank rolls.

Hi James, can you do this strat using the daily sheet off the website? Thanks.

Very interesting James many thanks, ill look at seeing if i can automate this ?

have you ever considered applying this with a cash out at 80 minutes or 85 minutes. This would increase strike rate and last minute goals..

Hi there, strategy looks good, but how far in advance of the game can you get those kind of amounts matched as I've looked today and some of the lesser games have low amounts of liquidity

How do I get that spreadsheet?

What's ur criteria for Relevance 2 and MN? like threshold, the golden middle, or something like that,

I tried this over 17 games last Saturday using the exact settings I lost 3 out 17 games 🤢

hi, are there specific leagues you would look to avoid? EG, on 23rd March there are LOADS showing after using the filters, what else would you look for to reduce the amount? Thanks in advance :)

Hull City U21 v Colchester United U21 26 March picked off the TTM sheet score 5 goals. I think there is a flaw in this cunning plan Baldrick.

idiotic

nice video again - i have a question - is it possible to download the excel betting tracker? I'd like to be more professional about my betting and would like to document all my bets. Cheers

Treat the liability in big lay prices as the stake. If the lay is 7.2 for example and you only want to risk £100 you would stake £16 which would be a liability of £99.20. An indicator for a game with low number of goals is the 0-0 odds at the start of the game. If there is low odds of 10.0 and under lower the better I have seen odds as low as 6.00. I prefer to do odds on lays as you risk less than the amount you stake. I like to look for the boring 0-0 games with my portfolio. Games that are 0-0 at half time are usually the best to analyze with a low number of shots on target. It is profitable to trade on events that are going to stay the same rather than predicting what is going to happen if you get me.

Just checked out those 4 matches left in your data sheet

Empoli vs Salernitana ended 1-3 so just passed but Hamburger SV lost 3-4

Ahhhhh that is me showing the strategy floors ☺️

Could you not wait see if there’s an early goal and then lay too get less liability?

Does anyone advocate hitting the cash out button at any point with this strategy when a couple of early goals go in? Take a loss and move on?

How do you choose which numbers you pick for the attack defense and magic number? I mean why did you use lower/higher ones than the excel sheet recommend?(-7/7 -3.5/3.5) Does it depend on how many games fit in the criteria?

Did a small test of this over the last week or so using the criteria stated - 19 matches in total.

Started off well. The first 13 matches were all winners, only 1 match even hitting1 goal away.

In the next 6 games, there's been 4 losers. At the stakes shown in the video I'd currently be over £18k down. Thank god I used £1 stakes and not more.

Not sure how the system only hit 2 losers in just over 200 trades in the video yet I've managed to hit 4 in 19 but hey ho.

I tried this and the first day and was up £40 but next day a loss on two games resulting in a £160 down .......brutal

Good vid - will be interesting to follow the results for a month myself. Probably sod's law stepping in but used the sheet and filtered to get the games for today (7 April) using the tighter criteria that it looks like the vid used ( +- 4 for attacking and +- 10 for the Magic Number). Threw up 11 selections... 3 games had 4 goals and 2 actually lost! End result using £150 stakes would have been a £650 loss!

Variance is a thing of course, so will keep an eye on this as it looks awesome overall. Certainly, now we are in April the Europe leagues do seem to have more goals in them. A 3.5MG strategy I have always has a worse SR in April and May....

How do you get a spreadsheet of under 4.5 goals?

Hello, Thanks for sharing knowledge, I don't understand why sometimes they do Lay to Over and other times Back to Under, be it 2.5 or 3.5 or 4.5. What benefit does each one have or when do I use each one. I am from Argentina, it is done with a translator, sorry for the errors. Thank you very much for the valuable content you offer.

Dont work long term , grab a cold beer paper trading a system for 3months means nothing ,this is something ben michaels would sell to the masses

Where do we get the green/white chart from? Is it your own property?

How to filter the sheet to look for matches below -7 & +7?

Horrible strategy.. its like you are betting 1k on 1.01 or 1.02 … promoting it in 2024 its a disgrace.. whats next? Martingale? I am sick of this industry…🤮

"Promosm"

2 losses across 200 games over 5 months returning nearly £28,000 is superb. Congratulations!

James, about this Magic Number you've tantalisingly dangled....are you offering it? 😉😁 You can't just leave a key component out of an otherwise very compelling strategy!

Can you tell me please why lay over 4.5 goals rather than back under 4.5 goals ?

where is the trade? enter exit point? this sounds like betting

I can lay 4.5 at 13 for England final but back over 4.5 with bookies for 20/1 is that profitable

Strategy looks great but Confused on the guide stats! On the website the guide video to the Football Stats Grid says look for values on attacking relevance of outside -7 to 7 & on Marks Magic number of outside 3 & -3 but on this video it seems to be between those numbers that you are looking for. Which is it pls?

I would do this with smaller stakes but you do need the spread sheets to pick your teams and I have no idea how spreadsheets work. but I suppose you could just base these games on odds like if the teams are equal prices then they must be evenly matched so I will check this out we all need an edge to beat the bookies..

Lay Over 200.5 Goals

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