Exponential growth and epidemics

We used this video and data from WHO in Statistics class on March 11th, 2020 to predict mortality by December 25th, 2020. Our methods predicted between 250k to 300k US fatalities from COVID-19. We were wrong - 350k people died in the US alone by December 26th, 2020.

"Cases" like "false positives" coming from a complete FRAUD of a test ?

Om pure and applied

great video!!!

Its quite painful to see such a well-made explanation and on the other hand politicians which after mor than one year of rhe pandemic still have not understood what exponential growth means and how the growth factor is the key.

Please provide an update. I don’t believe this takes into account “variants” or decaying vaccine effectiveness!

How about an update?

This is the biggest pandemic in human history - pandemic of idiotism and anti-science. Based on panic.

Great video! It would be now very interesting to have un updated one analysing the spread of the virus from the beginning up to now (including the effect of vaccines and lockdowns)!

Grant, do you have anything to add about the subject since some countries are currently leaving the pandemic behind thanks for the vaccination, any additions to the modeling?

People who assume this was natural, OR, UN-planned, are completely stupid. The injected are DOOMED, which was the goal you troglodytes! In my vision, 10 years ago, people were cooked alive, in their own steam.

"When people are worried enough there's not much to worry" hmmm... I smell differental equations

ah, S shaped curve, not exponential growth

... Yes

Would love it if you would do a follow-up video on this going in to details on patterns of COVID spread over the last two years

This guy knew what was going to happen before March 13

Jesus look at those numbers compared to today

It's crazy how dead wrong the predictions were

Well unfortunately we were not worried enough. We should've listened to you more carefully.

1) Avg number of people exposed to with the infected person
2) Probability of getting exposure to convert into infection .
Now the first point is also dependent on the density. So the denser the population the harder it is to check the exposure... Only real solution is to just lock that person in the room if mild symptom is seen... Or wear ppe kit and sanitize the room and take him to the hospital

I am from the future and coronavirus is almost gone so is lockdown but infecting almost 7% of world population

I remember watching this video the day it came out. its wild how covid changed our entire world in less than a year, and killed millions, and yet people still think it is a hoax.

Everybody's can believe in this is like a crazy brain.

It's close to π²

I swear you coulda told me this was Salman Khan and I'd believe you

Except the "case" numbers were wholly manufacted (the "tests" were BS).
As were the death numbers, where not even a faked test was required to mark something as "BS-related".

Next time pick some numbers describing reality to go with your maths :-(

This video wonders whether COVID would be more like SARS (8 thousand cases) or Spanish Flu (513 million cases). WHO's official numbers today say that there have been 761,402,282 confirmed COVID cases so far.

Me: I don’t think so much
Brain: looks up information and learns from the information that I read and learns more…

ruh roh

Would be awesome to do an example with Argentinian inflation😅

Watching this in 2023 made me realise how casual we were back in march 2020, without being aware that this virus was going to change our lives

We're watching this in my Calculus class in 2023 and the projections in hindsight are both affirming and frustrating.

Decime que estas al pedo sin decirme que estas alpedo:

great video

This is the same condition with the economic growth points of well developed and under developing countries.

I made COVID

China has fake data

Thanks for the video you made it easy to understand.

Have you made a video of how the spread actually happened in reality now that it’s a few years later?

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Thank you so much for the very nice and comprehensive presentation! I watched it 4 years ago when COVID-19 occured and I am still learning from it!

Wow its been 4yrs sinc3 crown virus

I know an exponential growth
fψ0(1)
Omega fixed point in fast growing hierarchy

The way he is explaining the topics made me wanting for more. some people are certainly blessed to know how to tech someone they can understand . Thanks greater teacher

Looking back, it's so stupid how fucking paranoid everyone was over this shit. And videos like this really didn't do anything to help