Could Poland Become The Next Germany?

If felipes got allergys they shoo stay in der own lane

Censorship x 3 i dont know who i am

I thought felipe moved the club house

Poland is the all-time biggest beneficiary of EU funds. Its rise would not have happened without the EU, which is ironically quite unpopular in Poland.

Why did you assume that GDP per capita will fall due to 1,6M refugees from UA if almost all of them are working, producing goods and services and paying taxes? Its already confirmed that those immigration is what boosted Poland's growth, not the opposite

Poland was never a fully integrated soviet republic because Stalin was afraid of polish nationalists and how they rekt Lenin's army in 1920.

No!!!!!!!Our country is not independent!!!!!!

Good video pointing out the reality of the polish growth without praising it too much like other media, but the title is a catch. While the growth in polish economy is impressive, as long as it does not produce international giants like BMW, Audi, etc., you cannot compare it with Germany.

Could Poland Become The Next Germany? 2025: 😊
Could Poland Become The Next Germany? 1939: 💀

I'm a Pole living in the US and I've been waiting for your analysis so thank you for that! When it comes to Polish economy, I have to say it is a pickle for me. There's a lot of good things going on in Poland but I also see massive challenges in the next few years.

Every time I go to Poland I can see that its infrastructure is just booming. There's new construction everywhere, new, shiny highways, apartment buildings, warehouses etc. Every time I go back to the States I feel like I'm moving back in time. Every time I go to Poland it makes me think if it wouldn't be a good idea to go back.

But there's also more rational part of me (at least that's how I see it), that knows that it's just different being well established major economy, and a developing economy. While Poland has been developing for the past 30 years, I'm a bit afraid if there's a solid ground to escape middle income trap you mentioned. I don't see any DOMESTIC innovations that could possibly facilitate that. Poland is strong in industries like automotive (mainly German), windows, furniture, appliances (all not very innovative) and batteries but this seems like it might be torpedoed by EU. Poland is strong in IT, but it's all outsourced and I don't know if it'll continue to be a IT hub once wages equal the Western ones.

There are also other challenges like demography, war (while chances are not that high as of now I can't rule that out), political instability (it's almost as crazy as the situation in the US, but I think Poland's geopolitical situation is way more vulnerable), immigration (it's okay and it seems that Poland learnt from mistakes of other EU members, but let's not forget that the Western Europe was also very positive about immigration and it might end up the same).

They are definitely doing much more right than Germany at the moment. But when I look at the German government, it's no wonder. Still I don't think they will become economic power house Germany was and still is. (German btw)

Oh, I see somebody already made that joke. Nevermind, moving on.

"Privatization" is just a nice name for stealing and corruption. The families of the political leaders and influential people get a good chunk of capital completely free, cementing their political positions and influence basically forever more. This leads to oligarchy and dictatorship widely observable in basically every post-socialist country, including Russia.
This was so big a mistake that it is today the very reason the EU is failing - the different culture of the post-socialist countries is just not compatible with the culture the EU is based upon, resulting in trolls and traitors like Orban and Fico. The root cause of this evil is privatization.

Poland lost 20% of its GDP during tranistion!

And the billions 0f Euros a year for last 15 years provided by the EU helped! Hungary and Poland scammed the EU tax payers the most for ‘development funds’

Poland is the only European country with a brain.

This is inaccurate. Whilst Poland's overall economy is larger than that of its Baltic State neighbours, per-capita GDP in Poland is actually lower than that of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania.

This year is making me six years in online investment, for sure have met a lot of managers but none is like ma'am

Bro just got your ad for the usa looks great 👍

The whole premise is ridiculous.

Could frogs grow wings and fly? Possible, but highly unlikely.

Or as I like to call it, "Everything I dont like is Hitler"

It's true but we have many problems to solve:
- huge polarization (2 political parties dividing people making the debate hostile. And polotics enter many private discussions)
- constitutional crisis (some high rank judges are not validated by govt party and vice versa)
- UE green deal - we generate 25% energy from green sources what means most expensive energy in EU (especially compared to gdp per capita)
- most complicated tax law in EU (yes, even compared to France)
- demographic crysis (1.1 children per woman)
- Ukraine... the next source of polarization and huge cost. We paid highest share of our GDP towards helping not just Ukraine, but also immigrants that get full social services for free
- public expenses making almost half of our GDP projected to exceed 50% in the next 3 years. Limiting the economical growth by high taxes and wasting money by government on useless investments
- oh, also - prime minister lately boasted about spending 650 billion on investments.. it's about 16.5% of our GDP. Much less than in other EU countries
- young and abmitious people leaving the country for better lives

It's true that most Ukrainian refugees are women and children. But don't underestimate them. They may not be as much of a 'drain' on the economy when you consider:

1. Many of those children will grow up to become part of Poland's labour force, giving a huge boost to an aging country.
2. The stereotype of refugees as helpless elderly women is not universally accurate. Ukrainian refugees are often working age women, and highly educated and productive women at that. Refugees tend to be the most mobile, not the most infirm.
3. A lot of the women who aren't working get money sent to them by wealthy husbands stuck in Ukraine, so it's not like they all subsist purely from welfare payments.

All those who are interested in Poland and consider it a powerful player, be informed that our health service does not have money for treatment already in March. The cost of living, especially in the 3 largest cities, is similar to Western European countries. However, earnings are lower. On the plus side, it is quite safe here, but this is starting to change rapidly for the worse with the relocation of migrants here by the current government + our employees can think out of the box and they devoted. For this reason, many global companies are starting to transfer complicated processes that require thinking (this is where we have the greatest potential).

Worth overlaying the map of air pollution in Europe. Poland is burning coal like it’s going out of fashion (oh wait, it is) to drive their economic growth.

no, please no. We don't need to rule over all of Europe, our current borders are ok

Czechia when?

until they fix the packaging of their national candy "krowki" so that there is not every time a piece of paper jammed and stuck in it that can not be removed entirely without cutting it out with your nail or a tool they can not be taken seriously

until they fix the packaging of their national candy "krowki" so that there is not every time a piece of paper jammed and stuck in it that can not be removed entirely without cutting it out with your nail or a tool they can not be taken seriously

One of your maps looks like it shows Kyrgyzstan as if its a part of China

Poland is doing well. But not tremendous. It’s just doing well compared to Germany UK AND France which are destroying themselves.

Comparing economies w/out considering GDP PPP is deceptive indeed. And it creates false perceptions that can be dangerously. Here in the west so many thought Russia was so weak because of their tiny defense spending compared to the USV& NATO. BUT when you look at it in PPP NUMBERS we realize they spend the equivalent of $400+ billion and retain an industrial base. This all enabled them to out produce the entire west and 50 nations as ding Ukraine , in ammo artillery, missiles, tanks, drones etc.

Can you please do a video on Czech Republic??? As the strongest post communist country?

It’s exciting to see Poland’s transformation — industrial, economic, and cultural. The future looks bright

Mate. If you want more non-English speaking subscribers, relax, breathe deeply, speak slowly and imagine trying to understand me speaking polish at this pace

Few things I want to add as Polish citizen (regarding industries) few companies such as InPost, Allegro, EMPIK are slowly but surely growing in the neighboring EU countries (mainly Czechia and Germany(

Why does China own Kyrgyzstan on your map?

Any war economy tends to have some growth, as paradoxical as it may soud. Reconstructing destroyed infrastructure, acomodating casualties, paying soldiers, maintanance, purchase, building arms and general military logistics increases GDP. Poland as an adjacent zone does benefit in part from all of that, so it is expected that they have a GDP hit after the war.

once we adopt the EURO single currency, we will skyrocket!

Polish: What do you mean Poland can be next Germany ?
Germany : You know what it means
News Articles: Germany is rearming itself
Coincidence I think not.

Poland has one of the best pisa scores on science and maths despite having way less resources than other countries it competes with. A good education is the basis for having advanced industries. At the same time they have relatively low taxes while being part of the EU. That means that the NPV of investments will be higher in Poland than in most european countries. So Poland will probably overcome the middle income trap unless a political party changes the education system, taxes or regulations. The only problem they could have is becoming stagnant when the NPV of investments in poland equal the NVP of investments in other part of the EU. But at that point they should already be a developed country so it will become more of an European problem rather than a Polish problem.

Maybe it has something to do with the fact that in Poland, the top 10% own only 30% of total GDP. Compared to 50% in the UK and 70% in the US.

Respect Poland 🇵🇱🙌🇵🇱🙌

Foreign companies/investors create jobs here because polish people are cheaper than lets say germans or americans for the same quality (not some miss or hit game like with Indians), so Poalnd is basically a cheaper workforce for richer countries, if the companies would move on somwhere with lower prices and same quality Im not sure how PL will prosper, Same in Slovakia - the cheap workforce for outsourcing from richer countries (but in SVK there is more corruption, so the money disappears in bigger quantities and dont go back to people)

The parties that might be poland's next government want to take Poland out of the EU, that growing prosperity might nosedive really soon.